Impending Epidemic Future Projection of Heart Failure in Japan to the Year 2055

Yuji Okura; Mahmoud M. Ramadan; Yukiko Ohno; Wataru Mitsuma; Komei Tanaka; Masahiro Ito; Keisuke Suzuki; Naohito Tanabe; Makoto Kodama; Yoshifusa Aizawa

doi:10.1253/circj.72.489

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Impending Epidemic

Future Projection of Heart Failure in Japan to the Year 2055

Yuji Okura, Mahmoud M. Ramadan, Yukiko Ohno, Wataru Mitsuma, Komei Tanaka, Masahiro Ito, Keisuke Suzuki, Naohito Tanabe, Makoto Kodama, Yoshifusa Aizawa

Author information

Yuji Okura
Division of Cardiology, First Department of Internal Medicine, Niigata University Graduate School of Medical and Dental Sciences
Mahmoud M. Ramadan
Division of Cardiology, First Department of Internal Medicine, Niigata University Graduate School of Medical and Dental Sciences
Yukiko Ohno
Division of Cardiology, First Department of Internal Medicine, Niigata University Graduate School of Medical and Dental Sciences
Wataru Mitsuma
Division of Cardiology, First Department of Internal Medicine, Niigata University Graduate School of Medical and Dental Sciences
Komei Tanaka
Division of Cardiology, First Department of Internal Medicine, Niigata University Graduate School of Medical and Dental Sciences
Masahiro Ito
Division of Cardiology, First Department of Internal Medicine, Niigata University Graduate School of Medical and Dental Sciences
Keisuke Suzuki
Sado General Hiospital
Naohito Tanabe
Department of Public Health, Niigata University Graduate School of Medical and Dental Sciences
Makoto Kodama
Division of Cardiology, First Department of Internal Medicine, Niigata University Graduate School of Medical and Dental Sciences
Yoshifusa Aizawa
Division of Cardiology, First Department of Internal Medicine, Niigata University Graduate School of Medical and Dental Sciences

Keywords: Epidemiology, Future projection, Heart failure, Japan

JOURNAL FREE ACCESS

2008 Volume 72 Issue 3 Pages 489-491

DOI https://doi.org/10.1253/circj.72.489

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Abstract

Background The future burden of heart failure in Japan was projected to 2055 in order to prospectively estimate of the number of these patients. Methods and Results The statistics are based on prevalence data of left ventricular dysfunction (LVD) in Sado City using the Sado Heart Failure Study (2003) and population estimates from the Japanese National Institute of Population and Social Security Research Report (2006). The number of Japanese outpatients with LVD was 979,000 in 2005, and is predicted to increase gradually as the population ages, reaching 1.3 million by 2030. Conclusion LVD is expected to precipitate a future epidemic of heart failure in Japan. (Circ J 2008; 72: 489 - 491)

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